World news and politics.

[Muz]

Putin gets grim warning: Russia’s population crisis could wipe out 11 million workers by 2030

Russia may lose 11 million workers by 2030, warns the labor minister, as birth rates fall and the Ukraine war worsens the population crisis.

economictimes.indiatimes.com

Russia faces a significant worker shortage by 2030. Retirements and low birth rates are major factors. The Ukraine war has worsened the situation. The government is offering incentives to boost birth rates. Vladimir Putin wants larger families. The worker shortage is impacting the economy. Russia's economy may be slowing down. The country is approaching a possible recession.

 

[Football us life]

The piece of shit terrorist that Israel, America & England installed in Syria is to no ones surprise acting like a piece of shit terrorist.

250 Druze were massacred and slaughtered in Syria yesterday.

Israel is currently bombing positions in Syria in response and the piece of shit terrorist has fled the Presidential palace.

The problem with Syria is that Syria is an ethnic kaleidoscope which has made it extremely vulnerable to sectarian tensions and foreign manipulation.

There is also a multitude of deep-rooted structural factors within this ethnic make up that make Syria prone to these sudden convulsions, such as the recent emergence of Hai at Tahrir al-Sham.

The Al-Assad family of the Alawi sect of Shia Islam ruled Syria for over 50 years and were reasonably successful in keeping the various tribal factions in line. It might have taken several boughts of excessive genocide here and there, but still they kept them in line....

Getting rid of these genocidal dictators such as Bashar al-Assad might get you brownie points in the environs of the liberal progressive West but quite often you're just going to get another genocidal dictator. This time it's Abu Mohammad al-Julani.

When they get jack of him, another one will emerge and take his place....

The UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres declared back in December, that “the fall of the dictatorial regime” presents “an historic opportunity for Syrians to build a stable and peaceful future”

The UN is a bit of a nonsense really. It's bordering on becoming unfit for purpose. Particularly in Middle Eastern affairs.

 

[Football us life]

Putin gets grim warning: Russia’s population crisis could wipe out 11 million workers by 2030

Russia may lose 11 million workers by 2030, warns the labor minister, as birth rates fall and the Ukraine war worsens the population crisis.

economictimes.indiatimes.com

Russia faces a significant worker shortage by 2030. Retirements and low birth rates are major factors. The Ukraine war has worsened the situation. The government is offering incentives to boost birth rates. Vladimir Putin wants larger families. The worker shortage is impacting the economy. Russia's economy may be slowing down. The country is approaching a possible recession.

I think most of Europe will be having the same issues. There's a demographic time bomb in place, the working age population is declining, particularly in highly skilled occupations and there is a global competition for talent going on.....

Germany and France, inparticular are having huge structural problems in filling gaps in their skilled labour markets. They're going to need a re-imagination of their migration initiatives to reflect a shift toward skills-based immigration, where applicants are judged on their qualifications rather than nationality.

Like Australia and Canada do.

 

[Muz]

I think most of Europe will be having the same issues. There's a demographic time bomb in place, the working age population is declining, particularly in highly skilled occupations and there is a global competition for talent going on.....

Germany and France, inparticular are having huge structural problems in filling gaps in their skilled labour markets. They're going to need a re-imagination of their migration initiatives to reflect a shift toward skills-based immigration, where applicants are judged on their qualifications rather than nationality.

Like Australia and Canada do.

It's going to be the biggest issue my grandkids are going to face. An aging population, competition for immigrants, AI replacing jobs, a lower working cohort and resultant lower tax base and incomes for governments.

It's going to be a massive issue for a world economy based on 'infinite' growth.

There's going to need to be major rewrite of how governments collect money from a shrinking working population in tandem with a severely aging population that can't be plugged with immigration.

Fun times ahead.

 

[Football us life]

It's going to be the biggest issue my grandkids are going to face. An aging population, competition for immigrants, AI replacing jobs, a lower working cohort and resultant lower tax base and incomes for governments.

It's going to be a massive issue for a world economy based on 'infinite' growth.

There's going to need to be major rewrite of how governments collect money from a shrinking working population in tandem with a severely aging population that can't be plugged with immigration.

Fun times ahead.

Western countries with severe skills shortages in critical areas of the economy and the public service sector like healthcare and associated occupations, that cannot be solved internally will have to bring in unskilled economic migrants from places like Africa, the sub-Continent and S E Asia and educate them and then train them to standard.

That is going to have to be the model going forward. The costs involved are going to be excruciatingly large....

 

[Muz]

Western countries with severe skills shortages in critical areas of the economy and the public service sector like healthcare and associated occupations, that cannot be solved internally will have to bring in unskilled economic migrants from places like Africa, the sub-Continent and S E Asia and educate them and then train them to standard.

That is going to have to be the model going forward. The costs involved are going to be excruciatingly large....

Sure. Until Africa develops to the point that their birth rates decline and then what?

And develop they will.

India and particularly China have declining birth rates too. 40 years ago overpopulation was going to be the biggest problem when it's going to be the exact opposite.

 

[Football us life]

Sure. Until Africa develops to the point that their birth rates decline and then what?

And develop they will.

India and particularly China have declining birth rates too. 40 years ago overpopulation was going to be the biggest problem when it's going to be the exact opposite.

Yep. I totally agree....Once these countries start to develop an education and work system that leads to a burgeoning middle class, it becomes the first step towards demographic change resulting in a slower fertility and birth rates, an increase in the median age, and changes in the age structure of a population.....

Japan and South Korea are the harbingers of this trend.

India and China with their enormous numbers of population are next which will eventually start to develop in places like Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand in Asia....

Everyone is going to need people!

 

[Muz]

Yep. I totally agree....Once these countries start to develop an education and work system that leads to a burgeoning middle class, it becomes the first step towards demographic change resulting in a slower fertility and birth rates, an increase in the median age, and changes in the age structure of a population.....

Japan and South Korea are the harbingers of this trend.

India and China with their enormous numbers of population are next which will eventually start to develop in places like Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand in Asia....

Everyone is going to need people!

Which brings me back to my original point.

It's going to be the biggest issue my grandkids are going to face. An aging population, competition for immigrants, AI replacing jobs, a lower working cohort and resultant lower tax base and incomes for governments.

It's going to be a massive issue for a world economy based on 'infinite' growth.

There's going to need to be major rewrite of how governments collect money from a shrinking working population in tandem with a severely aging population that can't be plugged with immigration.

 

[Football us life]

Which brings me back to my original point.

It's going to be the biggest issue my grandkids are going to face. An aging population, competition for immigrants, AI replacing jobs, a lower working cohort and resultant lower tax base and incomes for governments.

It's going to be a massive issue for a world economy based on 'infinite' growth.

There's going to need to be major rewrite of how governments collect money from a shrinking working population in tandem with a severely aging population that can't be plugged with immigration.

Economic growth will bring prosperity to all!!

This is the mantra that guides the decision-making of the vast majority of our politicians, (neo-classical) economists and even some human rights bodies. I've always thought along those lines as well.....

But I'm beginning to feel this pursuit of endless economic growth, while often seen as a path to prosperity, can ironically undermine the very economy it aims to benefit. You get...

Unsustainable resource exploitation, environmental damage, and the complete exacerbation of inequality....

We do need some sort of sustainable economic growth, but we cannot continue to measure it using GDP. We need a ‘quality adjusted’ GDP linked to transactions which recognise how much social and natural capital they are building.

Otherwise mankind will eat itself. Maybe literally.....

 

[JS96]

I think most of Europe will be having the same issues. There's a demographic time bomb in place, the working age population is declining, particularly in highly skilled occupations and there is a global competition for talent going on.....

Germany and France, inparticular are having huge structural problems in filling gaps in their skilled labour markets. They're going to need a re-imagination of their migration initiatives to reflect a shift toward skills-based immigration, where applicants are judged on their qualifications rather than nationality.

Like Australia and Canada do.

I teach English to unemployed German professionals. What I've noticed over 15 years is people were mid 40s, well educated and able to do the work the job market demanded.

Now a lot of my students are generalists often of a non German background and are just so far away from what the economy demands. Of course they can be trained up but this takes time and miracles are expected of very advanced topics where the previous generation has died off and don't want anything to do with teaching the next gen.

Germany has this odd festish of thinking a migrant who can't read and write will somehow modernise the economy with the latest ground breaking ideas.

 

[JS96]

Yep. I totally agree....Once these countries start to develop an education and work system that leads to a burgeoning middle class, it becomes the first step towards demographic change resulting in a slower fertility and birth rates, an increase in the median age, and changes in the age structure of a population.....

Japan and South Korea are the harbingers of this trend.

India and China with their enormous numbers of population are next which will eventually start to develop in places like Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand in Asia....

Everyone is going to need people!

I wonder how much of an example Kenya is of that? Rwanda has a lot of Sports washing I believe but another place that is seemingly improving from past horrors.

 

[tsf]

Putin gets grim warning: Russia’s population crisis could wipe out 11 million workers by 2030

Russia may lose 11 million workers by 2030, warns the labor minister, as birth rates fall and the Ukraine war worsens the population crisis.

economictimes.indiatimes.com

Russia faces a significant worker shortage by 2030. Retirements and low birth rates are major factors. The Ukraine war has worsened the situation. The government is offering incentives to boost birth rates. Vladimir Putin wants larger families. The worker shortage is impacting the economy. Russia's economy may be slowing down. The country is approaching a possible recession.

They will have a lot of financial problems in years. A lot of their young people with brains have left, he's bled the oligarchs to fund the war (fair enough), and they will have to spend massive to get their military at a decent level.

 

[LFC]

Couldn’t the biggest issue my grandkids will face been said for over a century gen by gen.
We’ve also been putting the average person out of a job long before Ai was even thought of.
Whoever said we are our own worst enemy sits true - we are going to eat ourselves up sooner or later.
Mad Max Terminator were pipe dream movies of the times but how real do they become as the decades go by.

 

[tsf]

The good news is the corporations and tech CEOs have our best interests at heart with their pursuit of AI dominance. Yeah for ultra capitalism!

 

[Football us life]

I teach English to unemployed German professionals. What I've noticed over 15 years is people were mid 40s, well educated and able to do the work the job market demanded.

Now a lot of my students are generalists often of a non German background and are just so far away from what the economy demands. Of course they can be trained up but this takes time and miracles are expected of very advanced topics where the previous generation has died off and don't want anything to do with teaching the next gen.

Germany has this odd festish of thinking a migrant who can't read and write will somehow modernise the economy with the latest ground breaking ideas.

What is the feeling amongst everyday German society about the war in Ukraine.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz has lifted longstanding restrictions on the range of German-delivered missiles and aligns Berlin with some of Kyiv’s other allies, including the UK and France. This is bringing Germany right into the 'nitty gritty' of this war.. How does that effect people's views of the conflict?


And there's a real strategic dilemma for Germany here of which the outcome could be profound.

Firstly the sanctions against Russia have reportedly had significant consequences for Germany. The economy is struggling under the weight of high energy prices, while it seems the pro-Ukrainian course is fueling support for populist fringe parties. The longer the war drags on, the greater the strain on Germany's economic and social stability or so it seems.

I heard an interview on the Jordan Peterson podcast with the AfD MEP Christine Anderson and she spoke of her party's opposition to military aid for Ukraine and concerns over the war’s economic fallout have also played a role. Her party is obviously capitalising on growing public fatigue with the war...

And I think it is not only the AfD that owes its rise in part to the government's Ukraine policy. The two left-wing populist parties, the BSW and the Left Party are also playing on these concerns over energy prices and supply....

There's definitely something in the poltical dynamics in Germany that might change the political establishments hold on power here...

 

[tsf]

unemployed German professionals.

Sounds like a barrel of laughs!

 

[petszk]

Japan and South Korea are the harbingers of this trend.

Worth a watch....

 

[Football us life]

The 'Miracle on the Han River' has definitely/maybe come to an end?

I think that rising national debt, income inequality, and demographic shifts, including low birth rates means that South Korea definitely needs a rethinking of its economic model....

 

[JS96]

Sounds like a barrel of laughs!

Some of the funniest people I know are Germans

They're paid 60% of their most recent salary during the first 12 months so they've got some clarity while searching elsewhere.

 

[JS96]

What is the feeling amongst everyday German society about the war in Ukraine.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz has lifted longstanding restrictions on the range of German-delivered missiles and aligns Berlin with some of Kyiv’s other allies, including the UK and France. This is bringing Germany right into the 'nitty gritty' of this war.. How does that effect people's views of the conflict?


And there's a real strategic dilemma for Germany here of which the outcome could be profound.

Firstly the sanctions against Russia have reportedly had significant consequences for Germany. The economy is struggling under the weight of high energy prices, while it seems the pro-Ukrainian course is fueling support for populist fringe parties. The longer the war drags on, the greater the strain on Germany's economic and social stability or so it seems.

I heard an interview on the Jordan Peterson podcast with the AfD MEP Christine Anderson and she spoke of her party's opposition to military aid for Ukraine and concerns over the war’s economic fallout have also played a role. Her party is obviously capitalising on growing public fatigue with the war...

And I think it is not only the AfD that owes its rise in part to the government's Ukraine policy. The two left-wing populist parties, the BSW and the Left Party are also playing on these concerns over energy prices and supply....

There's definitely something in the poltical dynamics in Germany that might change the political establishments hold on power here...

Fatigue and frustration has set in. Something had to be done but like any extremely expensive thing, analysts and people are annoyed that military money would never have gone to other things had the conflict not happened. Infrastructure and public services are destitute. One big issue is even if they choose to splurge, there isn't anyone to do the work. Tradespeople are missingm