Regarding which pot we end up in for the draw, Norway beating Italy this morning is good news for us because if Italy fails to qualify directly from the group, they will have to qualify via the UEFA play-offs which automatically puts them in Pot 4. From the FIFA website and the 2026 World Cup wiki page: "Pot 1 will contain co-hosts Mexico, Canada and the United States (who were automatically assigned to positions A1, B1, and D1, respectively), and the best nine teams. Pot 2 will have the next best twelve teams, followed by the next twelve teams in Pot 3. Pot 4 will consist of the six lowest-ranked teams, along with the placeholders for the two inter-confederation play-off winners and four UEFA play-off winners." (the 2022 tournament did this too for the final play-off winners)
From the teams above and around us in the current rankings: one of Ukraine/France and Switzerland/Sweden will not be able to qualify directly since they're in groups together. Denmark and Austria are also not guaranteed direct qualification (although they are probably strong favourites) so a slip up from either of them in missing direct qualification will move us up another spot in the seeding. In CONMEBOL qualifying, the 7th place team will go into Pot 4 if they win their inter-confederation play-offs, which at the moment is Venezuela (below us in the rankings) who could feasibly overtake the faltering Colombia and Uruguay (both above us in the rankings) to qualify directly. In CAF qualifying, Senegal is currently behind DR Congo because of some poor draws and if they fail to overtake them then they will have to go through the inter-confederation playoffs which places them in Pot 4, meaning yet another spot in Pot 2 is open for us to squeeze into. So basically, even if our current ranking stays about the same between now and December, we have an opportunity to comfortably be seeded in Pot 2 if results in other qualifiers go our way.
TLDR: We want at least three of the following scenarios to occur: France to qualify above Ukraine (very likely), Switzerland to miss auto qualification, Norway to qualify ahead of Italy (looking promising), Greece/Scotland to qualify ahead of Denmark, Bosnia/Romania to qualify ahead of Austria, Venezuela to leapfrog one of Uruguay/Colombia, and DR Congo to auto qualify ahead of Senegal. There are at least seven teams who are currently ahead of us in the rankings who will be sent down to Pot 4 if they miss auto qualification and have to qualify via the play-offs or potentially miss the tournament altogether, giving us a comfortable spot in Pot 2 as long as we don't massively fumble against the Saudis next week.